Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 15.111972 17.598555 20.304118 23.458582 27.027011 30.929978 35.513081
2025-06-08 10.267138 13.493859 17.370332 22.331749 28.470350 35.770807 45.059752
2025-06-15 8.286846 11.966274 16.735012 23.278295 31.919265 42.825272 57.497800
2025-06-22 6.798771 10.647579 15.968420 23.705246 34.481236 48.746585 68.802979
2025-06-29 5.470426 9.241088 14.773343 23.251179 35.632317 52.722540 77.683788
2025-07-06 4.349487 7.904171 13.423800 22.309069 35.865567 55.304609 84.687132
2025-07-13 3.965024 7.645543 13.626844 23.637900 39.443117 62.783068 98.999383
2025-07-20 3.612001 7.368210 13.739773 24.797315 42.811739 70.135733 113.549892
2025-07-27 3.225953 6.959647 13.566158 25.442989 45.386686 76.420037 126.846760
2025-08-03 2.822179 6.443623 13.128723 25.574468 47.103396 81.446640 138.474095
2025-08-10 2.398157 5.808925 12.386659 25.077499 47.699017 84.694974 147.465610
2025-08-17 2.047642 5.257745 11.718779 24.621541 48.289838 87.921963 156.543253
2025-08-24 1.708610 4.690715 10.991127 24.068766 48.833214 91.391062 166.728753
2025-08-31 1.358734 4.024518 9.971477 22.854567 48.114208 92.760687 173.700733
2025-09-07 1.240785 3.891075 10.047369 23.809000 51.481544 101.393088 193.432897
2025-09-14 1.099827 3.664937 9.882397 24.242361 53.880857 108.458711 210.865525
2025-09-21 0.923055 3.295843 9.329105 23.779087 54.471973 112.287000 222.832158
2025-09-28 0.748729 2.882701 8.595897 22.818448 53.955329 114.011418 231.109865
2025-10-05 0.712947 2.880852 8.877844 24.173292 58.294541 125.076202 256.863072
2025-10-12 0.671051 2.849083 9.077390 25.355244 62.357058 135.837437 282.580757
2025-10-19 0.611142 2.741131 9.058326 26.013405 65.346581 144.688998 305.174666
2025-10-26 0.538958 2.568986 8.835459 26.147421 67.199107 151.409567 324.078709
2025-11-02 0.455977 2.329527 8.379586 25.640852 67.577207 155.203645 337.574768